Chapter 9 - Valuing Stock Flashcards Preview

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Flashcards in Chapter 9 - Valuing Stock Deck (51)
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1
Q

Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

A

A procedure for valuing the price of a stock by using the predicted dividends and discounting them back to the present value.

If the value obtained from the DDM is higher than what the shares are currently trading at, then the stock is undervalued.

Dividend per share/discount rate - dividend growth rate

2
Q

Equity Cost of Capital

A

The expected return of other investments available in the market with equivalent risks to the firm’s shares.

3
Q

Dividend Yield

A

The expected annual dividend of the stock divided by its current price. The dividend yield is the percentage return the investor expects to earn from the dividend paid by the stock

4
Q

Capital Gain and Capital Gain Rate

A

Capital Gain: Reflects the capital gain the investor will earn on the stock, which is the difference between the expected sale price and purchase price for the stock (P1-P0).

Capital Gain Rate: Divide the capital gain by the current stock price to express the capital gain as a percentage rate.

5
Q

Total Return of the Stock

A

The sum of the dividend yield and the capital gain rate. The total return is the expected return that the investor will earn for a one-year investment in the stock.

6
Q

Short Sale

A

Selling a security you don’t own

7
Q

Short Interest

A

Number of shares sold short

8
Q

Constant Dividend Growth Model

A

A model for valuing a stock by viewing its dividends as a constant growth perpetuity

9
Q

Dividend Payout Rate

A

The fraction of its earnings that the firm pays as dividends each year

10
Q

Retention Rate

A

The fraction of current earnings that the firm retains

11
Q

Sustainable Growth Rate

A

The rate at which it can grow using only retained earnings

12
Q

2 sources of cash flow from owning a stock:

A
  1. Firms pay shareholders in the form of a dividend

2. Investor chooses to sell the shares at a later (future) date

13
Q

How do you calculate the total return of a stock?

A

It is the sum of the dividend yield and the capital gain rate.

14
Q

What discount rate do you use to discount the future cash flows of a stock?

A

Equity Cost of Capital. Since the cash flow is risky, you cannot compute the present value using a risk-free interest rate.

15
Q

Why will a short term and long-term investor with the same beliefs be willing to pay the same price for a stock?

A

The dividend discount model – single N-year investors that will collect dividends for N years (this holds for all Ns) and then sell the stock or to a series of investors who hold the stock for shorter periods and then resell it. These investors (who have the same beliefs) will attach the same value to the stock; independent of the investment. It doesn’t matter how long they intend to hold the stock.

16
Q

The firm can increase its dividend in three ways:

A
  1. Increase its earnings (net income)
  2. Increase its dividend payout rate
  3. Decrease its shares outstanding
17
Q

Firm can do one of two things with its earnings:

A
  1. Pay them out to the investors

2. Retain and reinvest them (by investing more today, a firm can increase its future earnings and dividends)

18
Q

Cannot use the constant dividend growth model to value the stock of young firms because:

A
  1. Young firms often pay no dividends

2. Their growth rate continues to change over time until they mature

19
Q

Limitations of the Dividends Discount Model:

A
  1. A lot of uncertainty is associated with any forecast of a firm’s future dividends
  2. Borrowing and repurchasing decisions are at the manager’s discretion
  3. Dividend growth rate may not be sustainable
  4. Not suitable for firms that don’t pay dividends
20
Q

Share Repurchases

A

situation when a firm uses its own cash to buy back its own stock

21
Q

Share Repurchases have two consequences for the dividend discount model:

A
  1. The more cash the firm uses to repurchase shares, the less it has available to pay dividends
  2. By repurchasing shares, the firm decreases its share count, which increases its earnings and dividends on a per-share basis.
22
Q

Total Payment Model (alternative to the DDM)

A

Values all of the firm’s equity, rather than a single share

23
Q

Discounted Free Cash Flow Model (DCF) (alternative to the DDM)

A

A valuation method used to estimate the attractiveness of an investment opportunity. In other words it determines the enterprise value of a firm.

Enterprise value = Market value of equity + debt - cash

It uses future free cash flow projections and discounts them to get the present value estimate, which is used to evaluate the potential for investment.

Investors who hold stock in a company are interested in their own personal equity in the company, represented by their shares. Yet, this kind of personal equity is a function of the total equity of the firm itself so the shareholder is concerned about the firm too.

24
Q

The Enterprise Value

A

Value of the firm’s underlying business,unencumbered by debt and separate from any cash or marketable securities.

Basically, net cost of acquiring firm’s equity, using its cash to pay off all debt and then owning the unlevered business.

25
Q

Advantage of the Enterprise Model

A

allows us to value the firm without forecasting its dividends, share repurchases or its use of debt

26
Q

Net Investment

A

firm’s capital expenditures in excess of depreciation (or investment intended to support the firms growth, above and beyond the level needed to maintain the firm’s existing capital)

Investment intended to support the firm’s growth, above and beyond the level needed to maintain the firm’s existing capital.

27
Q

Difference between the discounted free cash flow model and the dividend discount model

A

dividend discount model, the firm’s cash and debt are included indirectly through the effect of interest income and expenses on earnings.

discounted free cash flow model, we ignore interest income and expenses, but then adjust for cash and debt directly

28
Q

Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

A

Average cost of capital a firm must pay to all its investors, both debt and equity holders.

29
Q

Dividend Payments determine…

A

the stock price

30
Q

Total payouts (all dividends and repurchases) determine…

A

Equity Value

31
Q

Free Cash Flow (cash available to pay all security holders) determines…

A

Enterprise Value

32
Q

Method of Comparables

A

An estimate of the value of a firm based on the value of other, comparable firms or other investments that are expected to generate very similar cash flows in the future.

33
Q

To adjust for differences in scale between firms you…

A

express their value in terms of a valuation multiple

34
Q

valuation multiple

A

ratio of the value to some measure of the firm’s scale.

35
Q

What does EBITDA stand for?

A

Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization

36
Q

Limitations to the comparables approach are:

A
  1. Does not take into account important differences among the companies
  2. Only provide info on value of the firm relative to the other firms in the comparison list.
37
Q

Advantage of the multiples approach are:

A

Based on actual prices of real firms

38
Q

What does DCF mean

A

Discounted Cash Flow

39
Q

What are some common valuation multiples?

A
  1. Enterprise value

2. Price Earnings Ratio (P/E)

40
Q

What implicit assumptions are made when valuing a firm using multiples based on comparable firms?

A
  1. All firms are the same

2. Only firms being compared are valued

41
Q

Efficient markets analysis means:

A

Idea that competition among investors works to eliminate all positive NPV trading opportunities

42
Q

What are the implications of the efficient market hypothesis for corporate managers

A
  1. Focus on NPV and free cash flows
  2. Avoid accounting illusions
  3. Use Financial transactions to support investment
43
Q

Probability distribution

A

A graph that provides the probability of every possible discrete state

44
Q

Discount rate (Dividend Discount Model) equals

A

The rate the investor requires for their investment

45
Q

Outstanding shares

A

A company’s stock currently held by all its stockholders

46
Q

Free Cash Flow

A

Cash flow available to pay both debt holders and equity holders (after payments to keep firm running have been completed)

47
Q

True or False: Use the rWACC for the rE if the firm has no debt

A

True

48
Q

Asset cost of capital is also known as

A

WACC

49
Q

When to use:
DDM
Total Payout Model
DFCF

A

DDM: valuing a share from the perspective of a single shareholder/share (this model also assumes all cash paid out is in dividend)
Total Payout Model: when a firm repurchases shares (this model values all of the firm’s equity)
DFCF: goes step further - determines total value of the firm to all investors - both equity and debt holders

50
Q

Capital Expenditures

A

money spent by a business or organization on acquiring or maintaining fixed assets, such as land, buildings, and equipment.

51
Q

Connection between DFCF Model and NPV

A

Firm’s free cash flow is = to sum of free cash flows from the firm’s current and future investments (Enterprise value). NPV of any project will affect the firm’s enterprise value. Should only accept projects with a positive NPV